
Resolved No on 18 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 51% on 4 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2025 to 18 Oct 2025, the highest close was 51% on 4 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 14 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 11% on 6 Oct 2025. $2.8K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 4:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 4 Oct 2025 – 18 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | 51.0% |
| 18 Oct 2025 | 3.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.23K |
| Crushing-Geography | Yes | 404.84 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 181.36 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 97.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of executive orders signed by Donald Trump between October 3, 2025, 2 PM ET and October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will use the Federal Register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-executive-orders-will-trump-sign-by-october-10
| lissartter | Yes | 50 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 48.96 |
| itsjustcheddar | Yes | 30 |
| rated | Yes | 24.69 |
| HelloJak | Yes | 8.33 |
| moon-k58-lad | Yes | 1 |
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