Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.8%. Yes opened at 17% on 10 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 17% on 10 Jun 2025 and the lowest 2.2% on 30 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 8% on 11 Jun 2025. $43.87K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 10 Jun 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2025 | 17.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 2.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Zighy | Yes | 1.13K |
| Deep-Coil | Yes | 1K |
| JustWinning | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly refers to Elon Musk using a new derogatory, mocking, or diminutive nickname (e.g., similar in style to “Ron DeSanctimonious” or “Sleepy Joe”) between June 9 and June 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The nickname must be distinct from Elon’s real name, and clearly intended as a moniker, not a one-off insult or generic descriptor (e.g., calling Elon "a loser" or "pathetic" alone would not qualify). Note: Trump referring to Elon as “the man who has lost his mind” as he did on June 6, will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-give-elon-musk-a-nickname-before-july
| Yes |
| 71.43 |
| the.real.daveee | Yes | 31.93 |
| Incomplete-Weekender | Yes | 22.22 |
| Kooky-Envelope | Yes | 22.22 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 17 |
| Jpqc | Yes | 16.95 |
| Another47 | Yes | 16.67 |
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