Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 15 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2025 to 16 Aug 2025, the highest close was 6.5% on 15 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 16 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.8 points down, to 0.7% on 16 Aug 2025. $28.92K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 17, 4:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Aug 2025 – 16 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2025 | 6.5% |
| 16 Aug 2025 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HorsesEatIt | Yes | 800.25 |
| ThePureGenius | Yes | 729.57 |
| Qwt | Yes | 625 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly uses the word “crazy” in reference to Vladimir Putin on Aug 15, 2025 (AKDT). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Comments that merely imply irrationality without explicitly using the term “crazy” will not qualify. For example, statements such as “Putin has lost his mind” or “Putin is insane” will not qualify unless the word “crazy” is specifically used. Trump must use the word “crazy” or a direct grammatical variant such as “crazier” or “craziest” in reference to Putin. A direct reference will qualify even if Putin is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear he is the subject. Statements such as “I wouldn’t call Putin crazy” or “People say Putin is crazy, but I disagree” will not qualify, as they do not constitute a direct usage of the qualifying term in reference to Putin. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-call-vladimir-putin-crazy-on-friday
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 194 |
| bilenych | Yes | 126 |
| ipoker | Yes | 123.75 |
| teddy232 | Yes | 114.29 |
| theZn | Yes | 100 |
| Lachd | Yes | 61.43 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
