Analytics
Resolved No on 8 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 0.2% on 2 May 2025. $439.51K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 2 May 2025 – 8 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2025 | 0.2% |
| 8 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| duduking | Yes | 97.57K |
| I112K | Yes | 27.95K |
| 3955f | Yes | 500 |
| Slowroasted | No | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is announced as the next bishop of Rome after Pope Francis. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no new pope is announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-be-the-next-pope
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