Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 1.3% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 20 Jul 2026, the highest close was 4.9% on 19 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 20 Jul 2026. $4.74K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 10:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 20 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 1.3% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.92K |
| bigticketchicken | Yes | 525.29 |
| PaddyAlpha | Yes | 440 |
| 007x007 | Yes | 251.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the number of times Donald Trump is shown on-screen, between game kickoff and the final whistle, during the official broadcast of the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final on FOX. "Times" refers to discrete instances where Donald Trump is clearly visible. These instances must be separated by shots where Donald Trump is not clearly visible on screen. If this game is cancelled or postponed past July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only live appearances count (commercials and videos recorded in the past won't count). The primary resolution source for this market will be the official FOX broadcast of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-final-trump-appearances-on-broadcast-20260716222408330
| Jamieeee | Yes | 225 |
| Temp.me | Yes | 180 |
| Remorseful-Mound | Yes | 166.67 |
| jdvancealt | Yes | 149 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| richardd | Yes | 49.98 |
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