Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.6%. Yes opened at 75% on 13 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 13 Jan 2026 to 25 Jan 2026, the highest close was 98.6% on 25 Jan 2026 and the lowest 75% on 13 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 98.6% on 25 Jan 2026. $18.64K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 26, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 13 Jan 2026 – 25 Jan 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 | 75.0% |
| 25 Jan 2026 | 98.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| coolboy3 | No | 481.01 |
| lutwidse | No | 290.31 |
| Alesandroodirjjd | No | 207 |
| nevergamble | No | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the Diplo's Run Club race at Margaret T. Hance Park currently scheduled for January 24, 2026 (see: https://diplosrunclub.com/phoenix). If Diplo completes the race in under the listed time this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is permanently canceled or otherwise has not been completed by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Diplo's official race time based on the BibTag System used for the event and published by Diplo's Run Club. Information on Diplo's past workouts can be found here: https://www.strava.com/athletes/25852638 Recent run times: Philly - 3.1 miles / 21:18 / pace: 6:52 Seattle - 3.1 miles / 22:21 / pace: 7:12 San Francisco - 2.88 miles / 19:27 / pace: 6:45 LA - 3.1 miles / 26:55 / pace: 8:40
Resolution source: https://m.twitch.tv/majorlazer?desktop-redirect=true&ios-app-redirect=true
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-fast-will-diplo-run-the-phoenix-5k
| porsche911gts | No | 200 |
| from10dollarstodream | No | 200 |
| happy12398 | No | 200 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| JohnnyColada | No | 100 |
| zxcursed121 | No | 98.82 |
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