Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 41%. Yes opened at 44% on 22 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 22 Oct 2025 to 25 Oct 2025, the highest close was 44% on 22 Oct 2025 and the lowest 31.5% on 24 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 32.5% on 23 Oct 2025. $85.34K traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 22 Oct 2025 – 25 Oct 2025, chart shows 25%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2025 | 44.0% |
| 25 Oct 2025 | 41.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cheezedrippin | No | 768.45 |
| OBigBallsO | No | 754.38 |
| FridayNight | No | 749.99 |
| crazydawg | No | 714.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the Diplo's Run Club October 25, 5k run at Flushing Meadows Corona Park currently scheduled for October 25 (see: https://diplosrunclub.com/new-york). If Diplo completes the race in under the the listed time this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If the event is permanently canceled or otherwise has not been completed by November 1, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Diplo's official race time based on the BibTag System used for the event and published by Diplo's Run Club. Information on Diplo's past workouts can be found here: https://www.strava.com/athletes/25852638
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-fast-will-diplo-run-5k
| Rigid-Kit | No | 500 |
| poorguy69 | No | 400 |
| lissartter | No | 241.79 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 190 |
| Max1881 | No | 177.14 |
| LetsGoGolfing | No | 144.93 |
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