Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 5 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 47% on 20 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 6% on 6 Sep 2026. $348.24 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 29, 10:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 44.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 324.88 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| boofa | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the next team Derke officially joins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Derke does not officially join a new team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Team Vitality". If Derke joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Derke is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Team Vitality and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/valorant-offseason-derke-next-team-1788364450495
| Yes |
| 6 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
