Analytics
Yes is at 15%, down 11 points from 26% when the market opened on 7 Aug 2026.
Across the 80 daily closes on record from 7 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 26% on 7 Aug 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13.5%; a month before, 16.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 13% on 8 Aug 2026.
Denis Villeneuve ranks third of the 21 outcomes in “Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner”. Christopher Nolan leads at 60%; Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi is at 17%.
$244.93 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $12.99K since listing. The order book holds $2.65K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 177 trades, $711.95 bought Yes and $4.51K bought No; the largest was a $1.62K buy of No at 83.0¢.
The largest Yes position is maxdawg with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is Hyperlong with 2.1K. Ten wallets hold 88.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 7 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 26.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-director-winner-20260727173335231
9 more outcomes, none above 0.5%.
| Indigo Signal 2966 |
| No |
| 1.08K |
| Terry241129 | Yes | 349.44 |
| Beniboii | Yes | 337.31 |
| WholeFawn1278 | No | 328 |
| 0x49F206 | No | 305 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 243.13 |
| bananabreakfast | No | 123.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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