Analytics
Yes is at 92%, up 45 points from 47% when the market opened on 3 Sep 2026.
Across the 51 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 94.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 47% on 3 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 94.5%; a month before, 87.5%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 74% on 6 Sep 2026.
Democrats is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “Which party will win older women in the midterms?”, ahead of Republicans at 8%.
$151.02 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.68K since listing. The order book holds $13.87K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 93 trades, $2.81K bought Yes and $75.56 bought No; the largest was a $1.82K buy of Yes at 88.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Roro22 with 2K shares; the largest No position is 74-75 with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 93.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Nov 2026, 11 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 9:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 3 Sep 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 47.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 92.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Roro22 | Yes | 2.05K |
| 74-75 | No | 1.07K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 365.43 |
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-older-women-in-the-midterms
| xtxpleasecallme |
| No |
| 234.74 |
| Indigo Scout B5A1 | No | 220 |
| buoys | Yes | 175.36 |
| Numitus1994 | No | 148.33 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 128.71 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 100 |
| DuneMentat | Yes | 79 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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