Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 23 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 81 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2025 to 12 Dec 2025, the highest close was 16.5% on 23 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 0.1% on 6 Nov 2025. $18.37K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 10:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 81 points, 23 Sep 2025 – 12 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2025 | 12.5% |
| 12 Dec 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.92K |
| ProteinProsecco | Yes | 3.85K |
| iwanttoliveasimplelife | Yes | 1.17K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the number of the following five elections won by the Democratic Party, all scheduled for November 4, 2025. Each event will count as one Democratic win if it occurs: - Democrats win the Virginia Governor's elections - Democrats win the Virginia House of Delegates - Democrats win the New Jersey Governor elections - Mamdani wins the New York City Mayor election - California referendum "Proposition 50" passes Any other elections occurring in November 2025 that are not explicitly listed here will have no bearing on this market’s outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, the market will resolve according to official results published by the jurisdiction’s election authority. This market will remain open until the official certified results of the listed elections are published. In the case of a tie, the winner determined by the jurisdiction’s official tiebreak mechanism will prevail.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-democratic-wins-in-november
| Yes |
| 437.92 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 271.3 |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 200.01 |
| rated | Yes | 68.07 |
| luuuur | Yes | 55.99 |
| DFarm | Yes | 28 |
| Quiet Horizon 1F07 | Yes | 21.33 |
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