Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 547.5 | $0.196 | $107.11 | Nov 19, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 360 |
| $0.200 |
| $72 |
| Nov 14, 2025 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.160 | $30 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 10-20%?Yes | sell | 9.48 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 23.69 | $0.370 | $8.77 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the government shutdown end November 12?Yes | sell | 35.08 | $0.650 | $22.8 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 23.68 | $0.380 | $9 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 30-40%?Yes | sell | 107.42 | $0.017 | $1.87 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?Yes | sell | 28.84 | $0.951 | $27.43 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 30-40%?Yes | buy | 107.43 | $0.068 | $7.28 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?Yes | buy | 28.85 | $0.520 | $15 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 416.8 | $0.024 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Democrats win three elections in Nov?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.080 | $15 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Democrats win four elections in Nov?Yes | buy | 437.92 | $0.114 | $50 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 10-20%?Yes | buy | 9.49 | $0.410 | $3.89 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.370 | $3.89 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.64 | $0.590 | $2.74 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.380 | $4 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.83 | $0.987 | $6.74 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.84 | $0.680 | $4.65 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Oct 15, 2025 |