Analytics
Yes is at 44.5%, down 5.5 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 Aug 2026.
Across the 56 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 65% on 10 Oct 2026 and the lowest 25% on 12 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 36.5%; a month before, 50%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 61% on 16 Sep 2026.
It is one of 16 markets under “LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador): Teams relegated (2026)”.
$40.01 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.43K since listing. The order book holds $190.64, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 63 trades, $261.04 bought Yes and $346.18 bought No.
The largest Yes position is cloverpmq2 with 40 shares; the largest No position is GuyFromTinder with 76.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 56 points, 27 Aug 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 44.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GuyFromTinder | No | 75.93 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 44.55 |
| cloverpmq2 | Yes | 40.01 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) at the conclusion of the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador). If the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ligapro-serie-a-ecuador-teams-relegated-2026
4 more markets, none above 2.1%.
| predictdogepepewif |
| Yes |
| 38.38 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 22.1 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 20.02 |
| Fluo | Yes | 20 |
| UpTheStairs | Yes | 20 |
| Coral Summit 331B | No | 20 |
| Golden Tide A59A | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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