Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21?

techResolved

Yes, settled Sep 28, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$2.2K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 28, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBest AI Model

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 28 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.9%. Yes opened at 84.5% on 25 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, the highest close was 98% on 27 Sep 2026 and the lowest 84.5% on 25 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 97.2% on 26 Sep 2026. $2.17K traded over the market's life.

15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 29, 12:08 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 25 Sep 2026 – 28 Sep 2026, chart shows 80%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Sep 2026	84.5%
28 Sep 2026	95.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	455.32
Dr.PNL	No	359.82
.Menthe	No	50

10 of 15 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 28, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 28, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 2, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.