Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 42% on 13 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 101 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2025 to 31 Mar 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42% on 13 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 4.5% on 14 Dec 2025. $217.17K traded over the market's life.
76 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 4:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 101 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 31 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 42.0% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 41.53K |
| acal | Yes | 5.07K |
| kikikkiki | Yes | 1.77K |
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order. The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-company-will-have-the-best-ai-model-for-coding-on-march-31
| Yes |
| 1.13K |
| cyniclee | Yes | 1K |
| rated | Yes | 788.19 |
| Fantastic-Alpenglow | Yes | 495.39 |
| Spry-Solution | Yes | 374.69 |
| Loose-Waterfall | Yes | 333.33 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 299.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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