Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.120 | $5.83 | -$44.17 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 52.35 | $0.995 | $52.09 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 24.31 |
| $0.165 |
| $5.09 |
| +$1.09 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | Yes | 61.93 | $0.188 | $4.95 | -$6.67 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? | Yes | 4.21 | $0.712 | $3.43 | +$0.43 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 57.69 | $0.139 | $3.17 | -$4.83 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $1.53 | -$3.48 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 123.09 | $0.041 | $1.35 | -$3.65 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 1.19 | $0.839 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.600 | $0.83 | -$2.18 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | Yes | 11.48 | $0.075 | $0.78 | -$0.09 |
 OpenAI acquired before 2027? | Yes | 15.52 | $0.097 | $0.4 | -$1.11 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2.28 | $0.439 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 32.26 | $0.031 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
 Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.13 | -$0.87 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 32.26 | $0.031 | $0.05 | -$0.95 |
| buy |
| 79.64 |
| $0.628 |
| $50 |
| Apr 15, 2026 |
 Claude 4.7 released by June 30?Yes | sell | 178.56 | $0.986 | $176.06 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.120 | $30 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Yes | buy | 4.21 | $0.712 | $3 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.989 | $2.82 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes | sell | 23.98 | $0.600 | $14.39 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 93.21 | $0.649 | $60.49 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 145.65 | $0.687 | $100 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 36.25 | $0.276 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 20.63 | $0.250 | $5.16 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes | sell | 33.7 | $0.460 | $15.5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 82.54 | $0.250 | $20.64 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes | sell | 47.25 | $0.650 | $30.71 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 20.67 | $0.820 | $16.95 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.938 | $11.16 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | sell | 40.55 | $0.240 | $9.73 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes | sell | 58.24 | $0.460 | $26.79 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.008 | $0.8 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | sell | 17.8 | $0.421 | $7.49 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | sell | 22.24 | $0.267 | $5.94 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | sell | 27.92 | $0.160 | $4.47 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes | sell | 54.44 | $0.050 | $2.72 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.026 | $0.4 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | sell | 52.13 | $0.020 | $1.04 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes | sell | 85.71 | $0.012 | $1.03 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 61.09 | $0.082 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 112.62 | $0.266 | $30 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 250 | $0.040 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 252.71 | $0.040 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 258.63 | $0.039 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 435.09 | $0.230 | $100 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.038 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 78.95 | $0.038 | $3 | Mar 19, 2026 |