Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 16 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 102 daily closes on record from 16 Dec 2025 to 28 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 16 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 10 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 14% on 17 Dec 2025. $39.84K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 102 points, 16 Dec 2025 – 28 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 | 44.5% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 793.83 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 300 |
| Azure Voyager 74A2 | Yes | 194.97 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daylight (https://x.com/daylightenergy) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Daylight, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-daylight-launch-a-token-by-312
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 100.01 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Ciliv | Yes | 20 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
| lingke | Yes | 10 |
| Olka | Yes | 7.28 |
| Seveni | No | 5.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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