Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.5% on 21 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 4 Sep 2026, the price held at 0.5%. $586.54 traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 4 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 0.5% |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 793.85 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 100 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 86 |
| Menacing-Revitalization-Anorak | Yes |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of York—Simcoe is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/yorksimcoe-provincial-by-election-winner-1785955561170
| 50 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 50 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 29.21 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 26.56 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 13.97 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
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