Analytics
Yes is at 30.5%, down 18 points from 48.5% when the market opened on 2 Jul 2026.
Across the 118 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 22 Aug 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 45.5%; a month before, 44%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 26% on 5 Aug 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap”.
$18 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $88.86, with a 57.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 18 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 18.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 48.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 30.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 18 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-20260630152322605
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
