Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 5.5 points from 5.5% when the market opened on 3 Feb 2026.
The high was 5.5% on 3 Feb 2026 and the low 0.1% on 2 Jun 2026. A week ago Yes was at 0.1%; a month ago, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 0.5% on 4 Feb 2026.
Databricks ranks sixth of the 12 outcomes in “Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?”. Anthropic leads at 53%; SpaceX is at 45.5%.
$628.43K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $17.87K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $491.55 bought Yes and $32.27K bought No; the largest was a $7.25K buy of No at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Golden Oracle C689 with 24K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 160.6K. Ten wallets hold 80% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 85 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 7, 3:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 225 points · 3 Feb 2026 – 7 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 5.5% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 160.63K |
| Golden Oracle C689 | Yes | 24K |
| Bold Kestrel EB97 | Yes | 22K |
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-287
| tetrose | Yes | 12.17K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 12.03K |
| balthazar | Yes | 8.37K |
| Jade Atlas 67F0 | Yes | 5K |
| Swift Pioneer 98D9 | Yes | 5K |
| ChonchoVilla | Yes | 4.51K |
| Cobalt Ledger C3B2 | Yes | 4K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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