Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 66 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 12 Oct 2026, the highest close was 24.5% on 8 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 6% on 9 Aug 2026. $1.35K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 2:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 66 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 12 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 24.5% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.86K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 671.03 |
| balthazar | Yes | 421.82 |
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/krakow-mayoral-election-winner-20260807003532273
| Yes |
| 150 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 149.99 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 99.99 |
| YYV | Yes | 96.56 |
| Crimson Summit 6D33 | Yes | 72.4 |
| man-enough | Yes | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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