Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 17% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 29 Apr 2026 and the low 0.1% on 29 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 34.2% on 16 Apr 2026. $12.85K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 3:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 202 points · 8 Mar 2026 – 4 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | 17.0% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.04K |
| cmx5 | Yes | 456 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-who-will-charles-oliveira-fight-next-945
| Harmful-Stylus | Yes | 134.38 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 112.98 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100.84 |
| vitaliktherugpuller | Yes | 64.99 |
| Asimtq96 | Yes | 54.16 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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