Will D66 win 20 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Resolved

Yes, settled Nov 3, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$16.7K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Nov 3, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 3 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 25 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2025 to 3 Nov 2025, the highest close was 100% on 3 Nov 2025 and the lowest 34.5% on 25 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 92.5% on 29 Oct 2025. $16.74K traded over the market's life.

22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 3, 4:32 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 25 Oct 2025 – 3 Nov 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Oct 2025	34.5%
3 Nov 2025	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.98K
frjwaj3n	No	410.24
lissartter	No	284.71
Bright Horizon 81D6	No	186

10 of 22 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are scheduled for October 29, 2025. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by Democrats 66 (D66) in the House of Representatives as a result of this election. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Democrats 66 (D66). This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).