Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 3 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2025 to 8 Feb 2025, the highest close was 10.5% on 3 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.4 points down, to 1.1% on 4 Feb 2025. $25.51K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 9, 6:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 3 Feb 2025 – 8 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2025 | 10.5% |
| 8 Feb 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 200West | Yes | 500 |
| NotReallySure | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico and a 10% tariff on imports from China (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US court blocks the implementation or any portion of these tariffs by February 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of any portion of these tariffs will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-courts-block-trumps-tariffs-by-friday
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