Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86.7%. Yes opened at 24% on 12 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2025 to 16 Aug 2025, the highest close was 24% on 12 Aug 2025 and the lowest 1.2% on 15 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 10.5% on 13 Aug 2025. $12.8K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 17, 8:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 12 Aug 2025 – 16 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2025 | 24.0% |
| 16 Aug 2025 | 13.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. court blocks the implementation of any portion of the D.C.-related actions announced in “Declaring a Crime Emergency in the District of Columbia” (Executive Order, Aug 11, 2025) or “Restoring Law and Order in the District of Columbia” (Presidential Memorandum, Aug 11, 2025) by August 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation—e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order—will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant courts; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-courts-block-trumps-dc-takeover-by-friday
| lissartter | Yes | 33.46 |
| giantballs | Yes | 20.11 |
| Nikschumi | Yes | 9.09 |
| BUFI.vufi | No | 0.01 |
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