Analytics
Yes is at 1.5%, down 24 points from 25.5% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25.5% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 9.5% on 3 Oct 2026.
0.1% ranks fifth of the 7 outcomes in “Core PCE MoM - September 2026”. 0.3% leads at 60.5%; 0.4% is at 15%.
$276.84 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.67K since listing. The order book holds $312.65, with a 2.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 448 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.3K. Ten wallets hold 88.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 29 Oct 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 5:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 25.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 1.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.29K |
| AJSV | Yes | 448.12 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 256.56 |
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending September 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for September 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on October 29, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.2%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure (the PCE price index excluding food and energy), not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure. If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-pce-mom-september-2026
| Azure Orbit D78E |
| Yes |
| 118.27 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 116.03 |
| Indigo Scout B5A1 | No | 95.32 |
| balthazar | Yes | 65.72 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 60.74 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 58.43 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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