Analytics
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?
economyAwaiting resolution
Ended Nov 11, 2026 UTC
Yes
97.8%
No
2.3%
Observed Yes 97.75¢Observed No 2.25¢
Lifetime volume
$31.7K
Ended
Nov 11, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Trading ended on 11 Nov 2026 with Yes at 97.8%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 26 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 14 Nov 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.8% on 11 Nov 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 15 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 90%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 67.5% on 16 Oct 2026.
2.6% is the favourite of the 10 outcomes in “Core CPI YoY - October 2026”, ahead of 2.5% at 1.7%.
Ten wallets hold 69.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Nov 14, 10:05 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 14 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 39.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 97.7% |
All outcomes
Core CPI YoY - October 2026
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Haradwaith | No | 2.05K |
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 2.05K |
| Stonktrader | Yes | 1.56K |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading ended on 11 Nov 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-yoy-october-2026
Dates
Topic room