Will Company C have the top AI model on August 31?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 31, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Aug 31, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 31 Aug 2025.

50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 31, 7:18 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history unavailable

No price has been recorded for this market yet, so there is nothing to chart.

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	448.33K
cigarettes	Yes	129.8K
Cookedtan	Yes	96.69K
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	44.86K
montty	Yes	34.94K
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	20.66K
aureli	Yes	16.37K
cry.eth2	Yes	12.02K
nhpx38txna0500	Yes	11.11K
Siziriv	Yes	11.03K

10 of 50 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.