Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99%. Yes opened at 91.5% on 10 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 102 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2025 to 19 Sep 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 7 Sep 2025 and the lowest 88.5% on 11 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 95.5% on 12 Jun 2025. $13.67K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 10:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 102 points, 10 Jun 2025 – 19 Sep 2025, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2025 | 91.5% |
| 19 Sep 2025 | 99.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | No | 4K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.74K |
| Cold070 | No | 90.91 |
This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-which-countries-qualify
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 41.98 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
