Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 15% on 23 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 326 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2025 to 8 Sep 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 15% on 23 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 3.5% on 24 Sep 2025. $681.96K traded over the market's life.
185 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 2:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 326 points, 23 Sep 2025 – 8 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2025 | 15.0% |
| 8 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.37M |
| forgotmydinner | Yes | 817.15K |
| JustCrazy | Yes | 363.22K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-winner-2026
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| Bigggggggg | Yes | 351.52K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 336.7K |
| balthazar | Yes | 162.01K |
| Remote-Testing | Yes | 159.75K |
| kneelbeforetheking | Yes | 111.78K |
| DonaldinhoTrumpito | Yes | 100K |
| Cobalt Atlas A4C2 | Yes | 73.36K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
