Analytics
Resolved No on 9 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.9%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 22 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2025 to 9 May 2025, the highest close was 60% on 3 Apr 2025 and the lowest 2.1% on 9 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 60% on 3 Apr 2025. $96.22K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 22 Mar 2025 – 9 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2025 | 22.5% |
| 9 May 2025 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gdfgdgdggdfdf | Yes | 545.91 |
| ciccesco | Yes | 139.77 |
| TheKinginYellow | No | 0.02 |
| Coral Scout 36D8 | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Deribit will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Coinbase in a deal valued at $5 billion or more by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement by Deribit or Coinbase will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition or merger is ultimately completed, as long as the deal value is stated or credibly reported to be $5B or more. The deal value may include stock, cash, or a combination. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Deribit or Coinbase however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-coinbase-acquire-derbit-for-5b
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