Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 65.5% on 22 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2025 to 9 May 2025, the highest close was 100% on 9 May 2025 and the lowest 39.5% on 25 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 100% on 9 May 2025. $316K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 22 Mar 2025 – 9 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2025 | 65.5% |
| 9 May 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Joint-Rebellion | No | 284.81 |
| sno | No | 162.49 |
| ciccesco | No | 86.21 |
| DoubleS135 | No | 16.39 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Derbit will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Coinbase by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Derbit will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Derbit or Coinbase, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-coinbase-acquire-derbit
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Misguided-Paperwork | No | 8.33 |
| Fierti | No | 1.72 |
| choicerich | No | 1.69 |
| kuplinow | Yes | 0.02 |
| FridayNight | Yes | 0.02 |
| TYriplecheese | Yes | 0.01 |
