Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 99% on 21 Nov 2025 and the low 22% on 13 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 67% on 21 Oct 2025. $40.94K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 24, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 45 points · 9 Oct 2025 – 22 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 22 Nov 2025 | 98.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeGamma | No | 988 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 602.5 |
| LcYcdpztvh | No | 497.01 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | No | 436.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market resolves to “Yes” if CME Group files a self-certification under CFTC Regulation 40.2 for at least one sport-based event contract by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to “No.” For this market, “self-certify” means CME, acting as a DCM or self-listing exchange, submits a written certification per 17 C.F.R. § 40.2 that the contract complies with the Commodity Exchange Act and CFTC regulations. The contract must explicitly reference a sporting event (e.g. game result, player performance, etc.). Announcements alone do not qualify; the filing must be made and publicly verifiable. The resolution source will be the CFTC’s public filings, CME’s disclosures, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-cme-self-certify-a-sports-contract-in-2025
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 377 |
| lissartter | No | 354.86 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 247 |
| horatio | No | 199.99 |
| booboo | No | 138 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 134 |
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