Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 104 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 1 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 18 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 3% on 17 Jul 2026. $717.79 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 18, 9:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 104 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 17 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 150 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is crowned champion (wins the Grand Final) of at least one qualifying international VALORANT event concluding in the 2026 calendar year. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." For the purposes of this market, "qualifying international VALORANT event" means any of the following, and only the following: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026 (February 28 – March 15, 2026) Valorant Masters London 2026 (June 6 – June 21, 2026) Esports World Cup 2026 — VALORANT (July 2 – July 12, 2026) Valorant Champions 2026, Shanghai (September 24 – October 18, 2026) In the case of a tie, the market will resolve to "Yes" for the team whose name appears first alphabetically. This market resolves "Yes" as soon as the team wins any one qualifying event; winning more than one is not required. If the team wins none of the listed events, this market resolves "No." If all qualifying events are cancelled, or are postponed such that no champion is determined for any of them by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Riot Games VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com) and, for the Esports World Cup, the official EWC website (https://esportsworldcup.com/en/competitions/2026/valorant). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/valorant-team-to-win-an-international-in-2026-20260630153803890
| Sleepy-Cactus |
| Yes |
| 6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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