Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 78%. Yes opened at 49% on 20 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 194 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2026 to 27 Sep 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 78% on 27 Sep 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 19 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 78% on 27 Sep 2026. $90.15K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 194 points, 20 Feb 2026 – 27 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 49.0% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | 78.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.22K |
| cowcat | No | 2.2K |
| Charming-Contagion | Yes | 434.78 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League Central division. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League Central division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-al-central-champion
| labistiiia | No | 391.5 |
| Irritating-Engineer | No | 284.48 |
| Plump-Jury | No | 250 |
| test.saveliyb.test | No | 137 |
| norealtime | No | 97.43 |
| oliman2 | No | 62.91 |
| peepeepooppoop | No | 60 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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