Resolved No on 5 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 55%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 5 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50% on 21 Aug 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 2 Sep 2026. $34.6 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 5 Sep 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | 45.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 117.99 |
| merod | Yes | 64.24 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 32.75 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the player that wins the GeoGuessr World Championship 2026, currently scheduled for September 2, 2026 to September 5, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the GeoGuessr World Championship 2026 per the rules of the tournament organizer (e.g., they are eliminated in the group stage), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple players are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, GeoGuessr (https://www.geoguessr.com/world-championship); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/geoguessr-world-championship-2026-winner
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