Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 60%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 12 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 42.5% on 12 Mar 2026 and the low 40% on 14 Mar 2026.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 8:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 14 Mar 2026, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | 42.5% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 40.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 286.03 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 150 |
| Violet Comet 34C2 | Yes | 62.14 |
| hotpato | Yes | 9.88 |
| megadarkparticle | Yes | 5 |
| Productive-Genie | Yes | 2.34 |
| 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes | 0.02 |
| Scornful-Conductor | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the named individual who holds the #1 rank position on officialchadrankings.com on March 20, 2026, 12:00PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be officialchadrankings.com. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-1-chad-on-march-20
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