Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 6% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 7% on 29 Mar 2026 and the low 0.4% on 9 Apr 2026. $15.33K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 11 points · 25 Mar 2026 – 9 Apr 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 6.0% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dontshowmyname | Yes | 2.02K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 687.58 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| wxy7766 | Yes | 500 |
| ra5tadark | Yes | 218.57 |
| 5-min | Yes | 200 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 173.94 |
| haruk098 | Yes | 160 |
| pd.unique | Yes | 65.83 |
| BAWANGMAO | Yes | 60 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-claude-go-down-on-days-in-april
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
