Analytics
Yes is at 2.2%, down 13 points from 15% when the market opened on 19 Apr 2026.
Across the 189 daily closes on record from 19 Apr 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 36% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.4%; a month before, 0.6%. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 36% on 29 Apr 2026.
Chris Murphy ranks 17th of the 43 outcomes in “Democratic VP Nominee 2028”. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads at 8.5%; Elissa Slotkin is at 8.1%.
$1.96K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $21.17K, with a 2.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 84 trades, $21.5 bought Yes and $709.14 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 730 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.1K. Ten wallets hold 96.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 189 points, 19 Apr 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | 15.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.08K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 730.32 |
| RadioCCOD | Yes | 287.07 |
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/democratic-vp-nominee-2028
30 more outcomes, none above 2.5%.
| SiliconBets | Yes | 286.22 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 279.8 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 144.3 |
| stra-l11 | Yes | 63.12 |
| Swift Raven 390A | Yes | 60 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 57.34 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 43.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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