Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89.9%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 26 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2026 to 25 Sep 2026, the highest close was 38% on 27 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 19 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 10% on 2 Sep 2026. $246 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 26, 7:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 26 Aug 2026 – 25 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 37.5% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 10.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 241 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 150 |
| a5533 | Yes | 45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the total number of buy-one-get-one (BOGO) entrée offer codes released by Chipotle through its "Every Win Tastes Better" promotion tied to Taylor Fritz's men's singles run at the 2026 US Open, from August 25, 2026 through September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the event is not completed by September 29, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Chipotle (https://newsroom.chipotle.com) and Taylor Fritz's official Instagram account (@taylor_fritz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-chipotle-bogos-will-be-given-out-during-the-2026-us-open
| Yes |
| 14 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 8 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
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