Analytics
Yes is at 5.5%, down 20 points from 25% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 42 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 27% on 13 Sep 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6%; a month before, 12.5%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 15.5% on 15 Sep 2026.
China ranks fourth of the 4 outcomes in “AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group C Winner”. Iran leads at 71%; Syria is at 9.4%.
$235.43 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $499.46, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Numitus1994 with 89 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 129.
Trading closes on 6 Feb 2027, 102 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 25.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 5.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 129.1 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 88.57 |
| qwen300.fund | Yes | 20 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group C at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2027 AFC Asian Cup. If the 2027 AFC Asian Cup is cancelled, postponed after February 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the AFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/afc-asian-cup-2027-group-c-winner
| lolzzzlol |
| Yes |
| 19.94 |
| nibblemaxxing | Yes | 0.56 |
| maomao228 | Yes | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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