Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49% on 5 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 242 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2025 to 26 Aug 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 5 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 18.5% on 6 Dec 2025. $146.17K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 26, 10:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 242 points, 5 Dec 2025 – 26 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | 49.0% |
| 26 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 52.82K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 8.64K |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 2.4K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oklahoma-governor-republican-primary-winner
| mustbethewater | Yes | 1.73K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1.71K |
| korda77 | Yes | 1.31K |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Yes | 584.99 |
| merod | Yes | 555.97 |
| Laury2 | Yes | 544.92 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 412.35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
