Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 12 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 221 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2025 to 12 Aug 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58% on 26 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 25.5% on 28 Jan 2026. $57.82K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 12, 9:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 221 points, 12 Dec 2025 – 12 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | 40.5% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.02K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 967.64 |
| Serene-Endorsement | Yes | 476 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/vermont-governor-democratic-primary-winner
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 415.58 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 300 |
| balthazar | Yes | 293.27 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 225 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 217.34 |
| Solar Orbit 2CD1 | Yes | 216.77 |
| 2kparabellum | Yes | 153.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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