Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 51%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 56% on 6 Mar 2026 and the lowest 27% on 10 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 43.5% on 11 Mar 2026.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 9:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 51.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xiaodouzi | No | 100 |
| commonraccoon | No | 25.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Chainlink hit in March?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-chainlink-hit-in-march
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