Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 8 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 8 May 2024 to 11 Jun 2024, the highest close was 5.5% on 8 May 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Jun 2024. $110.15K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 11, 2:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 8 May 2024 – 11 Jun 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 May 2024 | 5.5% |
| 11 Jun 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 21.17K |
| IOTUYIOITUIY | Yes | 20 |
| FGDFCVDFG | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Belgium is scheduled to hold federal elections for the Chamber of Representatives (lower house of parliament) on June 9, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Christian Democratic and Flemish Party (CD&V) wins more seats than any other party in the Chamber of Representatives as a result of the 2024 Belgian federal elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the 2024 Belgian federal elections do not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the CD&V, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Belgian government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/belgian-federal-election-which-party-will-win-the-most-seats
| Yes |
| 10 |
| YRTTIYUI | Yes | 10 |
| JRTYSXDFXCV | Yes | 10 |
| dfgdfgsdf | Yes | 10 |
| KIFGCGVXCV | Yes | 10 |
| fdfgjdgh | Yes | 10 |
| OTIPTU | Yes | 10 |
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