Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2025 to 3 Nov 2025, the highest close was 99.5% on 2 Nov 2025 and the lowest 2.9% on 24 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 50 points up, to 98.6% on 31 Oct 2025. $22.92K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 3, 10:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 3 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 7.5% |
| 3 Nov 2025 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.29K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 3.24K |
| lissartter | No | 234.72 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fewest number of seats among the listed parties in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election. Only listed parties will be considered. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” In the case of a tie between two or more of the listed parties for the fewest seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, it will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/). Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announces they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/netherlands-election-which-major-party-wins-fewest-seats
| No |
| 72 |
| NoMoreMister | No | 13.99 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 11 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 11 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 10 |
| valo54 | Yes | 7.06 |
| huy69 | Yes | 7.04 |
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