Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4% on 16 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 4.5% on 17 Nov 2024 and the low 0.1% on 17 Jan 2025. $4.26M traded over the market's life.
144 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 10:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 16 Nov 2024 – 22 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2024 | 4.0% |
| 22 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 218.96K |
| zhang13 | Yes | 3.2K |
| EruptionStarweaver | Yes | 1.57K |
| anon888 | Yes | 500 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Casey DeSantis is appointed as a U.S. Senator for Florida as a replacement for Secretary of State nominee Marco Rubio by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first individual appointed to replace Rubio as U.S. Senator for Florida - if another person is appointed this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If Marco Rubio does not resign by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-replace-marco-rubio-as-florida-senator
| qoajbb88 | Yes | 432.93 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 400 |
| Emerald Raven E0D7 | Yes | 300 |
| Amber Beacon 2014 | Yes | 190.89 |
| Goater | Yes | 185.42 |
| Vladimir333 | Yes | 177.68 |
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