Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 8 points from 8% when the market opened on 27 Mar 2026.
Across the 197 daily closes on record from 27 Mar 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 39% on 7 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 3 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 4.5% on 29 Apr 2026.
Carson Williams ranks 11th of the 25 outcomes in “MLB: AL Rookie of the Year”. Kevin McGonigle leads at 95.7%; Parker Messick is at 1.5%.
$430.63K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.72K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 185 trades, $1.77 bought Yes and $212.89K bought No; the largest was a $13.36K buy of No at 99.7¢.
The largest Yes position is Gucky-45 with 1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 6K. Ten wallets hold 89.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 19 Dec 2026, 50 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 197 points, 27 Mar 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2026 | 8.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.95K |
| Gucky-45 | Yes | 1.05K |
| DG-NO | Yes | 1K |
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-al-rookie-of-the-year
13 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| 2kparabellum |
| Yes |
| 1K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 981.07 |
| Lunar Ledger B959 | Yes | 300 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 149.99 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 109.98 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 100 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
