Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 30, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$42.9K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 30, 2024 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved No on 30 Aug 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 69%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 24 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 24 Aug 2024 to 30 Aug 2024, the highest close was 31% on 30 Aug 2024 and the lowest 28% on 25 Aug 2024. $42.89K traded over the market's life.

30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 31, 6:13 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 24 Aug 2024 – 30 Aug 2024, chart shows 20%–35%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Aug 2024	30.5%
30 Aug 2024	31.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	61.6K
qrpenc	Yes	4.03K
Ivory Meteor 70FF	Yes	2.43K
Blissful-Trooper	Yes	478.52

10 of 30 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

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