Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.4%. Yes opened at 96.5% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 70 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 7 Oct 2026, the highest close was 97.5% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 80.3% on 12 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 80.8% on 23 Aug 2026. $751.35 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 8, 1:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 70 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 7 Oct 2026, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 96.5% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 97.4% |
24 more markets, none above 3.4%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | No | 99.98 |
| Garmonbozia | No | 76 |
| Fluo | No | 20.62 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nitto-atp-finals-player-to-qualify-20260728191143795
| TheSpeciaIOne | No | 20 |
| triklozoid | No | 10 |
| bjprolo | No | 4.96 |
| moneymachine4 | Yes | 0.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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